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Risk owners are responsible for continuous identification, assessment, mitigation and management of risks within the existing and ever-changing risk profile of the environment in which they operate.
The internal auditors and chief audit executive, being responsible for the combined assurance process, evaluate the effectiveness of the risk management process and report to the audit, risk and compliance committee (audit committee) which, in turn, provides assurance to the board.
The top residual business risks, appropriately categorised and based on impact and likelihood of occurrence, together with mitigating control measures, are disclosed below in descending order. These risks do not exceed Exxaro’s risk appetite but have the highest residual risk rating, warranting disclosure and continuous management as per the decision of the executive committee, audit, risk and compliance committee of the board, and the board itself.

Residual risk ratings (percentages) are disclosed in brackets after the description of the residual risk.
| Risk and category | Impact | Probability | Control measures (mitigation) | |
| Strategic and operations Infrastructure constraints impacting on current operations and growth aspirations |
High | High | Continuous collaboration with Transnet Freight Rail. Upgrade loading facilities. Leasing or acquiring export entitlement. Evaluate viability of own rolling stock | |
Strategic and financial
Commodity price and currency volatility impacting on profitability, investment returns, project evaluations, loan covenant compliance and BEE shareholding structure |
High | High | Continuous business improvement initiatives with rigorous tracking. Optimised use of operating assets to leverage benefits of higher throughput. Increased manpower productivity. Pursue downstream beneficiation and integration. Diversification of markets and product sector. Restructure, if necessary, to be profitable throughout commodity cycles | |
Strategic and compliance
Inability to maintain a licence to operate due to non-compliance with applicable legal and regulatory frameworks |
High | High | Engagement with relevant authorities and non-governmental organisations. Ensure gap identification and progressive compliance with revised mining charter, King III report on governance for South Africa, environmental and other legislation to ensure sustainable operations within the framework of a responsible corporate citizen | |
Compliance and operations
Potential delays to current operations and projects associated with the time taken to obtain approval for mining and environmental rights |
High | High | Continuous engagement with relevant authorities. Ensure compliance with legal and regulatory requirements to progress approvals required | |
Operations
Lack of security, and cost, of electricity impacting on safety and sustainable operations |
High | High | Participation in industry forums that engage with Eskom and the National Energy Regulator of South Africa (NERSA). Investigation into co-generation and other renewable energy sources. Implementing power-sharing initiatives and examining alternatives for conserving electricity in operations. Continued commitment to Eskom to assist where possible with additional coal supply to achieve stability in the power grid | |
Strategic
Inadequate regulatory changes to enable meaningful participation in IPPs in the South African industry |
High | Medium | Ongoing engagement and participation in regulatory processes and continued lobbying of decision makers | |
Operations
Climate change impacting on sustainable operations |
High | Medium | Continuous research and industry participation to understand and quantify impacts to ensure mitigation initiatives are current and effective | |
Strategic
Late commissioning of growth projects critical to Exxaro’s sustainability |
Medium | Medium | Robust project management discipline. Knowledge sharing from experiences with previous projects | |
Strategic and operations
Insufficient supply of clean water for sustainable operations and communities |
Medium | Medium | Continuous enhancement of current water management programmes combined with investigation of additional mitigation initiatives | |
Strategic and operations
Insufficient attraction and retention of key skills impacting negatively on current operations and growth aspirations |
High | Medium | Implementation of effective retention strategy for key disciplines. Remain an employer of choice due to:
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Operations
Risks associated with the closure of current operations |
High | Medium | Restructure, where necessary and where possible, to be profitable throughout commodity cycles Continuous improvement to enhance efficiencies, productivity and profitability Investigate downstream opportunities or alternative applications for current technology |
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FinancialAdverse impact of above-inflation increases on operating costs, profitability and costs of capital projects |
High | Medium | Ensure comprehensive provision for escalation on project costing and timing of long-lead items. Continuous business improvement initiatives and knowledge sharing | |
OperationsInsufficient security of critical materials due to scarcity and price |
High | Medium | Strategic sourcing and long-term contracting with reliable suppliers. Implement mitigation plans to avert or minimise potential impact | |
Financial
Fraud perpetrated, resulting in quantifiable losses |
High | High | Sound and entrenched internal controls and governance. Discipline with procedural compliance. Zero tolerance to fraud. Strong and experienced forensic investigation capability. Continuous internal audit of controls and assurance of effective functioning | |
Strategic
Risk of not successfully implementing improvement project initiatives thereby not realising targets for revenue, cost reduction and increased operational efficiency |
High | Medium | Robust execution of initiatives complemented by tracking to confirm set targets are realised | |
Strategic and operations
Funding of current operations and growth aspirations hampered by balance sheet capacity and other resource constraints |
High | Medium | Ranking value-adding opportunities in an approved commodity strategy-aligned growth process and acceptable capital structure, underpinned by cash flow generation and preservation, giving credence to maintaining Exxaro’s empowerment status Explore alternatives to raise equity given the group’s equity-raising restrictions |
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Compliance
Risk of previous versions of software applications impacting on information security and availability |
High | Medium | Centralised control and enforcement of discipline combined with training opportunities on updated software applications | |
Financial
Investment opportunities do not yield expected returns |
High | Medium | Applying conservative and strict criteria for project evaluation. Continuous update of prices and macro-economic parameters complemented by a comprehensive risk analysis | |
Strategic
Resource nationalisation resulting in sub-optimal utilisation of resources |
High | Low | Influence decision-making through collective lobbying and discussions at participative industry forums | |
Financial
Reliance on non-managed operation for financial stability |
High | Low | Focus on sustainability of managed operations in isolation |