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| Risk |
|
Impact |
|
Probability |
|
Control measures |
|
- Strategic
Lengthy process of executing new mining rights and possible restrictive conditions attached to converting rights
|
|
High |
|
High |
|
Ensure compliance with mining charter requirement.
Continuous engagement with the Department of Minerals and Energy (DME). |
|
- Strategic
Confirmation of long-term viable quality feedstock resource for KZN Sands smelter.
|
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High |
|
High |
|
Finalise sands feedstock reserve prioritisation. |
|
- Strategic
Long-term viable quality zinc concentrate supply to zinc refinery in Springs.
|
|
High |
|
High |
|
Continued exploration activity at Rosh Pinah zinc mine and identification of viable zinc concentrate supply sources. |
|
- Strategic
Funding of value-added growth within balance sheet and equity-raising constraints.
|
|
High |
|
High |
|
Ranking value-adding opportunities in a strategy aligned growth process and within an acceptable capital structure underpinned by cash flow generation and preservation. |
|
- Strategic
Longer term decline in commodity prices affecting dividend payouts thereby negatively impacting on stable BEE shareholder structure.
|
|
High |
|
Medium |
|
Continuous business improvement. Optimised use of operating assets. Maintain a healthy balance sheet through judicious consideration of growth aspirations and global market conditions. |
|
- Operational
Anticipated significant price increases for electricity combined with power supply uncertainty, and the impact of interruptions on safety, production and profitability.
|
|
High |
|
High |
|
Participation in industry forums that engage with Eskom and the National Energy Regulator of South Africa (NERSA). Investigation into co-generation.
Implementation of power saving initiatives and examination of alternatives with regard to the conservation and use of electricity throughout operations.
Commitment to assist Eskom with additional coal supply required to achieve stability in the power grid. |
|
- Operational
KZN Sands – not achieving cold feed furnace production capacity at both furnaces.
|
|
High |
|
High |
|
Continuous improvement combined with projects and complementary technologies to maintain achievement of nameplate capacity, including ongoing investigation into alternative hearth technology. |
|
- Profitability
Volatility in currencies combined with impact of forecast macro-economic parameters and commodity prices on operating margins, returns on investments, project cost escalation in respect of growth aspirations and loan covenant compliance.
|
|
High |
|
High |
|
Judicious hedging policy. Continuous business improvement initiatives with rigorous tracking. Optimised use of operating assets to leverage benefits of higher throughput. Investigate downstream integration opportunities and diversification of markets and product sector. |
|
- Profitability
Impact on buoyant construction and engineering market on the cost of capital projects.
|
|
High |
|
High |
|
Maintaining a database on escalation of major commodity items based on industry trends and own experience to ensure comprehensive provision for escalation on project costing and timing of long-lead items. |
|
- Profitability
Infrastructure constraints inhibiting coal exports and ability to transfer zinc feedstock to zinc refinery.
|
|
High |
|
High |
|
Engagement to obtain expansion of the Coal link rail capacity in order to fully utilise allocation of 6,3Mtpa by the end of 2009. |
|
- Human resources
Attraction and retention of key skill simpacting on current production and future growth.
|
|
High |
|
High |
|
Implementation of effective retention strategy for key disciplines. Remain an employer of choice due to:
– regularly benchmarked market-related remuneration
– comprehensive training and development
– growth opportunities.
Focus on innovative recruitment initiatives and succession planning. Continuous rotation and exposure of own talent in multidisciplinary project teams. |
|
- Safety
Unacceptable safety record resulting in government, labour union and other stakeholder intervention.
|
|
High |
|
High |
|
Enhancement of safety awareness and preventative programmes through a strong focus on hazard identification and visible felt leadership. |
|
- Safety
HIV/Aids pandemic.
|
|
High |
|
High |
|
Improve voluntary councelling and testing enrolment by creating a conducive environment for disclosure and treatment participation. |
|
- Environmental
Risks posed by continuously changing and onerous environmental legislation.
|
|
High |
|
High |
|
Continuous monitoring of work performed in line with rehabilitation strategy. Ongoing rehabilitation is managed out of operational budgets while Exxaro Environmental Rehabilitation Fund provides for the final closure costs. Continuous engagement with authorities. |
|
- Reputational
Impact to imminent changes to the mining charter and potential application of BBBEE legislation.
|
|
Medium |
|
High |
|
Proactive planning to ensure compliance in terms of ownership, preferential procurement and employment equity. |